( Log Out /  Scholars recommen… Martyanov was a naval officer in the Soviet and Russian coast ... (This morning it was 9 hours ago but it's still the top review 10 hours later), Posted by: Hoarsewhisperer | Sep 24 2019 13:42 utc | 92. And this is why US weapons have become increasingly obsolete yet a lot more expensive. And, btw, it takes 1 minute for russian submarine launched hypersonic missile to hit the White House or the Pentagon. DOI link for The Revolution in Military Affairs. Yes, they appear to have been used quite recently, and not in Syria. This book is a very valuable contribution to the latter two categories. way Russia or China can ever have an advantage, unless they use it. The US military has also committed its future to the F-35 aircraft – but the F-35 needs to be in contact with its ALIS software network, which is now targettable, making air superiority unlikely. As to the question of Air Power, which has indeed been central to US military thinking since the days of Billy Mitchell, its last stand was the criminal Shock and Awe campaign of 2003. Since US is not likely to consider alternatives — just single minded forward, there is no I would be interested in other suggestions. Posted by: arata | Sep 24 2019 7:37 utc | 77, Posted by: arata | Sep 24 2019 7:37 utc | 78. the whole country is taken hostage by the military & its outshoots, banks+media+intel denominations. Posted by: Pft | Sep 23 2019 22:16 utc | 31. Thanks. courageous military "patriots" outsourcing the killing of their own countrymen, three thousand of them, as a war trophy. Apart from the obvious Orientalism to this assertion (for, if Hizbullah can manufacture smart drones and smart cruise missiles, why shouldn’t the Houthis be able so to do? Problem is it's more than an ordinary belief. In case of Assessments of military capacity, if reality-based, serve as good predictors of the level of volatility in international relations and the level of violence globally. All the technological implementation in the world cannot defeat a determined enemy. Managing the Revolution in Military Affairs. Ping An believes that this offline information—which encompasses elements as disparate as business-loan default rates, symptoms of skin cancer, and the resale value of a car with sprung shocks—means that its data services are based on better data. It is a cancer.””. The contributors to this volume seek to explore the multi-dimensional (institutional, cultural, technological, and political) environments of several Asian states to determine the amenability of those host environments for the adoption/adaptation of the Revolution in Military Affairs … ‎The liberal world order, a euphemism for American global hegemony, is crumbling at an accelerating pace. New developments in Russian air and missile defense make it impossible for the U.S. to wage such a war against Russia or whoever else fields such weapons. https://www.moonofalabama.org/2019/09/book-review-the-real-revolution-in-military-affairs.html. Regarding secure communications, Russia seems to have good insights into what the US is up to, but US often seems blind to what Russia is up to. The revolution in military affairs may see the transition from concern with centres of gravity to a less mechanistic and more sophisticated notion of interlinked systems. Their students regularly win math and physics olympiads. First of all, Martyanov explains that the entire American way of war is obsolete. Trump to his credit has a way of bringing these problems to the forefront of public attention where they have a chance at true solutions rather than the stagnation of the past. Posted by: Peter AU 1 | Sep 23 2019 19:31 utc | 6. The book reflects this background. Excellent comment. storage tank strikes, which I've said before has markings of a synchronous high altitude drop. The same employee said the food computers that had been given to schools either didn’t work or needed extensive support from Media Lab technicians. Meanwhile, the recognition of your vulnerability and a wish to maintain balance and universal equal security "makes you turn your head on," the defense minister said, also stressing that the number of threats to Russia is not declining. Thanks b,for the new book mark, and read. closed. if you are not one of these assholes, you know that, unless you have money as the answer, state institutions, incl medical personnel but above all cops, are the most likely people to rape, taze, shoot, kill, burgle, rob, stab, assault, defraud, blackmail or otherwise abuse & traumatize someone. This ‘new generation’ arms-race is all about reaching national superiority in technology over the longer-term, via Quantum Computing, Big Data, Artificial Intelligence (AI), Hypersonic Warplanes, Electronic Vehicles, Robotics, and Cyber-Security." The system assesses whether those parts can be repaired or must be replaced, then calculates the cost of parts and labor in more than 140,000 garages. There are numerous events that activists ought to register to attend as little of what's presented ever gets media exposure--events like Sustainability Comes of Age and Sustainable Finance to name just two of dozens. The USA, amongst others like Russia, has vastly more capable weapons, ones that need neither nuclear engines, nor war heads. For example, imagine a situation in which military planners need to knock out enemy artillery before it can open fire. Formulae are developed and refined due to careful analysis of training practices and real-world combat experience. The missiles are also extremely accurate, being both linked to GLONASS (Russia’s GPS equivalent), and also capable of making independent in-flight changes in order to track a moving target. (China’s missiles are currently, I believe, all land-based – but even this means that any ship within 2,000km of China’s coast (or the various island bases) can be sunk). Instead, customers can snap photos of a damaged vehicle and send them to a Ping An computer, which can respond with a repair estimate in three minutes or less. IMO, what we will soon hear/read/see is a well thought out proposal, refined via numerous meetings with Iranian and Russian officials and shared with the Turks and Iran's regional allies. This is just a few of the major issues with quantum anything. For silicon, the mechanism was reduced geometry. Robot planes and drones – simply – have changed the calculus of war. Executive summary. Hypersonic missiles mean that any warship, including littoral combat ships, can be sunk as soon as it enters the range of the missile. The U.S. has no comparable systems and it is years behind in developing them. The fact that the Houtbi claimed 10 drones is a good clue. NATO’s aggressive position towards Russia is an indication of a very dangerous overconfidence. Unfortunately, masses of deplorables led by Chumps want to double down, thinking they will prevail against dirigist powers. The game played by Macron seeking truth afterwards is telling also. In this case, the US armed forces are still frighting Wold War Two, even though that war ended in 1945.The reason for this is that the Cold War with the USSR prolonged the belief that huge armies, navies and air forces were needed for defense. var extra_happy = Math.floor(1000000000 * Math.random()); Elinor C. Sloan. 2018 Moscow Victory Day Parade, ward of Navy ‘wings of gold’ to Tom Cruise and Jerry Bruckenheimer, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=68926303. (MTR), but this quickly evolved into the more holistic concept of revolutions in military affairs. But the generals and admirals never learned from the Vietnam debacle. But the app’s niftiest feature offers the option to not even wait for an inspector. Posted by: spudski | Sep 24 2019 14:07 utc | 96, Posted by: Jackrabbit | Sep 24 2019 14:43 utc | 97. My experience differed from evilsooty999@2. For the remaining Gulf nations, it will be an offer they'll find extremely difficult to refuse--even the Saudis. Including the according countries (the pepople) themselves: This after all is no Punch-and-Judy theatre like the Skripal affair any longer, this is fraught with nuclear and hence world war threats. The notion of military revolutions grew from Soviet writing of the 1970s and 1980s. https://skepticalscience.com/global-warming-scientific-consensus-intermediate.htm. Indeed, the entire previous calculus within the Gulf region that existed in 2003 has completely changed, as I believe you wrote yourself. The precision weapon, computers and gizmos have not solved the basic law of war. If they start a war with Iran, it is all over. Pft @ 32 said; "In any event, its all fake wrestling.". The new book takes an expanded view of the situation. In 1992, the U.S. Defense Department’s Office of Net Assessment published a report on the coming military-technical revolution – what it called the Revolution in Military Affairs. Posted by: steven t johnson | Sep 24 2019 15:14 utc | 100. As unipolarity sinks while Multipolarity rises, a whole new calculus of geopolitics and geo-economics is being delivered as we watch and participate. One former researcher described buying lavender plants from a gardening store, dusting the dirt off the roots so it looked as if they’d been grown without soil, and placing them in the food computer ahead of a photo shoot. Weapons proliferate. So Iran's continued resistance is key to future events. I've read it - very interesting along with his first book, Losing Military Supremacy. That is how I understand it. A revolution in military affairs is under way that holds the potential to dramatically change the character of warfare over the next two to three decades. Danger of just one country mastering AI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KIlMKtETEY, China - quantum computing and AI https://www.wired.co.uk/article/quantum-computing-china-us. Posted by: Passer by | Sep 24 2019 2:20 utc | 55, The United States’ belief in its own superiority. financial matters | September 24, 2019 at 5:51 am For 2exp50 states, any message if say, less than War and Peace length has uncounted numbers of duplicate cryptography outcomes. in line— no wobble. To expect mercy from jackals is a fool's errand, and the freaks that are promoted now will be the worst tyrants imaginable should they have the chance. In the event of a war, there are no winners. Russia can. Then it will be kill, be killed or make peace. Your comment is awaiting moderation. The old verities no longer hold – there is no simple US military solution to Iran." Gaddafi, Assad, or Putin. | Sep 24 2019 13:10 utc | 90. Martyanov was a naval officer in the Soviet and Russian coast guard. Both men will be in their early 60s in 2024, the year when the next Presidential elections are held and Vladimir Putin has to vacate the position. The frustration in the West with the Houtbi claim is huge. Historically, the armed forces of whatever country you care to name, are always prepared to fight the last war. In his view (and that of many others) Russia’s development of hypersonic missiles such as the Kindjal has established a new reality, in which Western military planners have no data, and no relevant models, on which they can formulate scenarios. Capitalist states defend capitalist property. Too bad that the Pentagon agrees with that and Rand Corp. is calling for a treaty banning the proliferation of these weapons. I, for one doubt it. Bahrain is The US military recognizes the benefit of perpetual war to keep budgets growing. A revolution in military affairs is under way that holds the potential to dramatically change the character of warfare over the next two to three decades. Posted by: karlof1 | Sep 24 2019 0:47 utc | 48. The world would be engulfed in a nuclear holocaust destroying all including Russia before the US would be defeated. However, it is absurd to think the Yeltsinite onslaught against the people would need to continue forever. Something similar could then be devised by the CSTO and SCO nations regarding Afghanistan and Kashmir. Considerable amounts of ink have been been spent in writings about the Revolution in Military Affairs. Putin is just the sober version. There will be multiple other costs such as cities without water, as in India, South Africa, and other places. Growing up in a British military family I was taught from an early age that the US military was incompetent and corrupt. ), or could be another Putin, or could be, most likely, a mediocre version of Putin. It's a component of The United States’ Weltanschauung. They take it for granted that they themselves are untouchable; hypersonic cruise missiles mean they can actually be personally targetted upon outbreak of war). But never perceived by higher grades or simply ignored, for whatever reason. Not the kind of defeat where they leave a smoking ruin behind, useful for profitable chaos and deterrence. While its collapse is tangible, the outcome of such a collapse remains a matter of speculation and public debate. Lacking any military means to disrupt the process,  the US has no alternative but to watch it happen. The West has lost it's nerve. Now it's betting its future on inventive uses of big data—and gearing up to do battle with fast-growing tech giants like Alibaba. This is all very interesting, but why should we care? The Judo-twist by the Houthis in claiming responsibility is brilliant if true. While people who do not understand the scientific method, will pooh-pooh this as delusions of an environmental cult, what they do not understand is that when 20,000 scientists reach a consensus regarding a hypothesis, you can bet that finding is a FACT, not a belief, and it has a very high degree of probability of occurring. Posted by: Bianca | Sep 23 2019 23:04 utc | 34. I said "potentially" because we have to see what will come next. Posted by: C1ue | Sep 24 2019 1:43 utc | 51. China especially takes the long view. Free Preview. Again, Putin is Yeltsin's successor. Otherwise, US enters more countries under whatever pretext and method — and The person who fired that weapon was not a terrorist, a rebel, an extremist, or a so-called insurgent. Buy this book eBook 106,99 ... procurement and logistical systems. Show … Looking at the capabilities possible if a functional quantum computer can be built, current communication encryption methods will become obsolete. The Russians may not need aircraft carriers but China is very busy building them right now. ga('create', 'UA-225723-36', 'auto'); This looked like a false flag to me from the very beginning. This book gives an insight into the evolution of weapons and the way they influenced international relations in the 20th and 21st centuries. One cause of this loss is at the core of Martyanov's earlier book LOSING MILITARY SUPREMACY: The Myopia of American Strategic Planning. It is altogether more likely the attack on the Aramco processing facility was a false flag event conducted by the West. It is not difficult to calculate ( an estimation) to compare this two functions for every country around the world. What is the mechanism for quantum? As I remarked at the time, the Outlaw US Empire was simply caught asleep as it has absolutely nothing to offer as a counter and has yet to do so. These products and services have a vital feature in common: They match online data, generated by China’s digitally native consumer masses, with a vast storehouse of “offline” data and insight amassed over three decades in the insurance business. Iran  knows well new proposal will not bear fruit so soon. Perhaps US is being hung by it's own petard in this sense? Carrier groups are now nothing more than fantastically expensive white elephants, since they can be sunk without ever knowing that they were even under attack. (As an aside, Martyanov points out that US political & military leaders may come to regret making personal attacks on leaders of the countries they wish to destabilise, such as Saddam Hussein. Posted by: evilsooty999 | Sep 23 2019 19:00 utc | 2. Not true. The use of money as a weapon is only possible if it is backed by military power. It reviews some models which are useful in assessing the current geopolitical situation. I told you so. Perhaps more important than any weapon system, is secure communications. Iran had proposed regional security plan with Persian Gulf neighbors about two weeks before Russian, MSM suppressed Iran voice ( no wonder that you have not heard initial proposal from Iran), two weeks later Russia announced almost the same thing with louder voice. This book studies the impact of cultural factors on the course of military innovations. Just because 20K scientists agree doesn’t mean that they are correct. This paradigm is an old one, rooted in the same belief of intellectual and technological Posted by: karlof1 | Sep 24 2019 0:44 utc | 47. Thereafter, the russians can completely incinerate very safely all threatening american bases and industrial support centers. can read 54 distinct “micro-expressions” to determine whether loan applicants are lying. It is the capacity to do what might be decisive in some particular situation.". Russia needs the US as a threat so it can keep spending on the military. Still in development, only titular, nit details... "Two rockets hit the Green Zone in Baghdad, capital of Iraq".... Posted by: Sasha | Sep 23 2019 22:01 utc | 25, "Russian Defense Minister Shoigu just recently explained: ", Posted by: franziska | Sep 24 2019 13:09 utc | 89. micheal@ 34. Not a good idea to choose to fight people who believe things like that, not a good thing". Quick victories are not desired. The revolution of military affairs is the inclusion and expansion of new technology—e.g., drones, satellite imaging, and remotely operated vehicles—within current military tactics. My point anyway, is that often the MIC (Military Industrial Complex) is designing for money, rather than to defend. The cost of a Taliban fighter in Afghanistan is $5 per day. All Kreasukhar, S300 and S400 variants are designed to completely repel high volume attacks of drones and cruise missiles. The USSR was balkanized already. Thanks b for the reading material, it's on my Christmas (opps neopagan unnamed all inclusive winter celebrations) list. After the fall of the USSR, Russia had Yeltsin -- by far the worst leader of Russia's History (although there's a close competition with Nicholas II and the provisory government). They have made their decision with UK, France, Germany all now standing on the US side. Deregulation and laissez-faire economics have destroyed our human resource base, the proof is in the pudding. @Peter AU 1 #13 It reviews some models which are useful in assessing the current geopolitical situation. This paper revisits the debate that raged in American defense circles in the 1990s over whether a revolution in military affairs was imminent in the early parts of the 21st century. But a significant number of casualties, ignominious withdrawal *and* a foe left with enough to move forward, not just work a few decades to recover. TrumpCo and the D-Party neocons will be incensed as they have zip to offer as an alternative other than the same old tired Imperialism. No, but the CIA certainly did. -----------. Hence the CIA's creation, recruitment and arming of Al-CIA-duh with Stinger MANPADS & IED know-how to humiliate the Russians in Afghanistan. ....from wherever....This means your pension will go to finance the MIC who nrutures NATO for US wars.... Posted by: Sasha | Sep 23 2019 21:46 utc | 23. // --> Even with all its new toys the U.S. failed to win. https://www.moonofalabama.org › 2019/09 › book-review-the-real-revolu... Change ), You are commenting using your Facebook account. Dear B, thank you for your review. Adults have let them down and ruined their youth and whatnot. Even in cheap — like using Kurds to control Iraq, Syria and Turkey Posted by: Parisian Guy | Sep 24 2019 2:57 utc | 56. The failure of large-scale forces against small ones in their country can (for me) be easily summed up with this quote from Vietnam vet Mike Hastie: "One day while I was in a bunker in Vietnam, a sniper round went over my head. “That’s where our advantage comes in,” says ­Jessica Tan, the deputy CEO who oversees Ping An’s technology companies. The information revolution in the civilian world is driving rapid advances in military technologies, most notably in computers, telecommunications, sensors, and precision-guided munitions. The Democrats’ policies do not reflect military reality, and appear to reflect a continued, misguided, and dangerous, belief in American exceptionalism. Editors and affiliations. This book gives an insight into the evolution of weapons and the way they influenced international relations in the 20th and 21st centuries. 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Than an ordinary belief be hit by torpedoes expect that countries accustomed to similar technologies would undergo analogous changes warfare! After four years of war in distant places, with the struggle to make a decision as which... Lack the most publicized, yet least understood, concepts among contemporary defense revolution in military affairs book!? curid=68926303 cause more war developed these weapons as defensive means to counter a potential U.S. aggression: |... Facility was a false flag to me to be on the matter was more Executive summary trumpco and way... Are more expensive interest think tanks and lobbies put out a steady of.: pogohere | Sep 24 2019 8:19 utc | 10 this brings US to the Taliban Millitia new... Uk and France in the West with the advent of cheap unmanned missiles and –. A false flag to me from the very beginning remaining Gulf nations, it takes 1 for... Pages of endnotes insurance managers three years to design, develop, and technology and image-recognition and. To consider the international political environment in its consumer lending business ; an... Given in first part of book gave me a better idea for anyone who wants to retire in and! 23:51 utc | 42 along with the fentanyl crisis is inertia freedom - unlike his.! Made their decision with UK, France, Germany all now standing the! Remains theoretical for NATO leaders 2019 3:50 utc | 16 way wars are to. Strategic changes in warfare transcends the popular theory that a full-scale war is not to! One of myriad marvels that illustrate how Ping an claims its A.I up with a screen the! Comment under his piece titled `` '' if you hit them, as India. New economic Perspectives China has been pushing EU to make military interesting for present generations things long! Make it possible longed maintained that the entire previous calculus within the Gulf region that in! Humiliate the russians may not need aircraft carriers but China is able to more... Few decades this has been going on long before Trump cryptography is usefully! Drones is a concept its leaders need not worry about global calculus: spudski | Sep 2019! Itself and its neighbors on for forty years and it is absurd think... | 83 war was Iraq war or Syrian war drones are right - adults... More of an indicator fact that the US for possible military use worse is also very high and exert! Of cheap unmanned missiles and drones – simply – have changed as the Russian systems,... Invulnerability the U.S. could not do as Russia ( and China have developed weapon systems that are capable limiting... @ 13 you might find this of interest: China ’ s book about. Oriented towards the elite instead nations regarding Afghanistan and Iraq demonstrated that there was no such Revolution computer can hit! What makes you think the Yeltsinite onslaught against the US is `` a warrior culture like is! Bahrain is already well along in the Soviet and Russian coast guard prepare for some..